feat(model): simulate models from rules over information links
Phase 2 brings Models to life. ADR-0004: behaviour comes from a small fixed vocabulary of rules (Constant / Proportional / Gap) read over the inbound Information Links, not free-form formulas — valid by construction. - types: Rule union, SimSpec, initialValue; replaces the unused equation field - simulation: forward-Euler engine, dependency-ordered evaluation, algebraic-loop detection, non-negative stocks, and a divergence guard - io: validate and round-trip the new fields (F8)
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# Behaviour comes from rules over Information Links, not free-form formulas
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_Part of [meadows](../../README.md) · see [DESIGN.md](../../DESIGN.md)._
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Numeric simulation (phase 2) makes a **Model** _alive_: Stocks accumulate over
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time, Flows and Converters recompute each instant. Two coupled decisions shape
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how a Model carries the numbers, and both trade expressive power for **valid by
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construction** — the right trade for a tool that exists to _popularise_ systems
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thinking, not to compete with Vensim.
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## Decision
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**1. The Information Link _is_ the declared dependency.** A Flow's or Converter's
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inputs are exactly the elements that link into it. There is no separate "equation
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references" namespace to keep in sync — the wiring you draw _is_ the wiring the
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simulator reads. The same signed graph the loop detector walks (ADR-0001) is the
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graph the simulator integrates, so the loops you _see_ classified R/B are the
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loops you _run_. They can never disagree.
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**2. A Flow/Converter computes from a small fixed vocabulary of `Rule`s, not a
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typed-in formula.** Each instantaneous element picks one rule and a plain number
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or two — never an expression:
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| Rule | Value | Reads (via Information Links) | Emergent behaviour |
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| ---------------- | --------------------------- | ----------------------------------------- | -------------------------- |
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| **Constant** | a fixed number | nothing | linear Stock change |
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| **Proportional** | `factor × (its `+` inputs)` | the `+`-polarity inputs | exponential growth / decay |
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| **Gap** | `factor × (level − target)` | the `+` input is _level_, `−` is _target_ | goal-seeking / asymptotic |
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The famous curves are _compositions_ of these over the structure — a logistic
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S-curve is Proportional growth meeting a Gap-driven ceiling (limits-to-growth);
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goal-seeking decay is a lone Gap (coffee cooling). The user sets up a local rule;
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the global shape **emerges**. That emergence _is_ the lesson.
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**Polarity does double duty.** The `+`/`−` already captured for loop
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classification (ADR-0001) also selects each operand's role: Proportional reads
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its `+` inputs; Gap reads its `+` input as the level and its `−` input as the
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target. One gesture, two payoffs — no new per-link data.
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## Considered Options
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- **Free-form expression strings** (`birth rate = Population × fertility`) —
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maximally expressive, and what `equation?: string` originally anticipated.
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Rejected: needs a parser + a sandbox (never `eval`/`new Function`), invites
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broken-formula and name-resolution errors (auto-names contain spaces), and lets
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a learner _paint_ a curve instead of discovering it from structure.
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- **Pick the output curve** (label a Stock "exponential" / "logarithmic") —
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rejected: it is the answer, not the cause, and it breaks the moment feedback
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decides the shape. "Logarithmic" in particular has no honest local rule; what
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people mean by it is asymptotic approach — which _is_ the Gap rule.
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- **Rules over Information Links (chosen)** — no parser, valid by construction,
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and it teaches structure → behaviour.
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## Consequences
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- The domain types gain a `Rule` union on Flow/Converter (replacing the unused
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`equation?: string`), an optional `initialValue` on Stock, and an optional
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`SimSpec` (`start` / `stop` / `dt`) on the Model. All optional and additive, so
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existing saved Models still load (F8); they are simply not _simulatable_ until
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equipped.
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- **Algebraic loops are an error.** A cycle in the wiring is legitimate feedback
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**iff it passes through a Stock** — the Stock supplies last-step state and so
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breaks the within-step dependency. A cycle among only Flows/Converters has no
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Stock to break it: the simulator cannot order it and rejects it. The simulator
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reuses the cycle machinery to detect this; it is a new _sim-readiness_ check,
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distinct from structural validity (validation.ts).
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- A reader seeing `{ kind: "gap", factor }` on a Flow and wondering where its
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operands come from should look here: they are the Flow's inbound Information
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Links, picked by Polarity.
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- The vocabulary starts deliberately small (Constant / Proportional / Gap —
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enough for linear, exponential, and goal-seeking, and for the coffee and
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savings samples). Growing it is additive: a new `kind` in the union plus a case
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in the evaluator. Multi-input products (e.g. `Population × fertility`) are a
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later increment, not a phase-2 blocker.
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